Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eduardo Gallardo (Buenos Aires)


	Los Andes		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.10
	2.50	2.70	3.00
	2.48	2.80	3.20	Watch
	2.78	2.81	3.13
	2.6	2.75	3.16	Watch
	2.70	2.70	3.05
	2.56	2.58	2.94
	2.49	2.70	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.81)	2.72 ↑ (2.66)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Andes
36%

Draw
34%

Deportivo Morón
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

35.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Andes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Los Andes - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Los Andes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez S. (C) 4. Carrasco G. D. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Franco D. 3. Grance I. 7. Galeano M. 8. Vazquez J. 10. Chamorro A. V. 5. Canete G. 11. Villarreal F. 9. Asenjo M.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Iniguez E. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Flores F. 3. Livera J. 8. Kubiszyn S. 5. Burruchaga M. 11. Bittolo M. 10. Fagundez F. 7. Berterame G. 9. Levato M.
Substitutes
12. Bustillos J. (G) 13. Fernandez N. 18. Gonzalez A. L. 17. Gonzalez M. 15. Ortiz S. 16. Rodriguez F. 14. Sandoval A. 19. Tisera F. 20. Viganoni C.	13. Cardozo L. 18. Contreras E. 12. Diaz F. (G) 17. Esquivel J. 16. Gonzalez G. 15. Gonzalez M. 19. Olivares J. 20. Toloza F. 14. Vaquero I. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Carrasco G. D. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Fagundez F. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 🟨,
38', Bittolo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Fagundez F. 🟨,
63', Bittolo M. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
63', Levato M. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
71', Galeano M. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Asenjo M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Chamorro A. V. ↓, Gonzalez A. L. ↑,
78', Villarreal F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', Berterame G. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
81', Fagundez F. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
81', Burruchaga M. 🟨,
84', Vazquez J. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
84', Canete G. ↓, Ortiz S. ↑,
86', Burruchaga M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Tisera F. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

In recent outings, Los Andes has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Deportivo Morón shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Los Andes has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Los Andes against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Los Andes - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.65%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Morón - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.86%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	Colón - Los Andes	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Los Andes - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	San Telmo - Los Andes	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Los Andes - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTTT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	Deportivo Morón - Godoy Cruz	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Colón - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Morón - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	Deportivo Morón - Los Andes	0:0
20.04.19	Deportivo Morón - Los Andes	3:0
15.09.17	Los Andes - Deportivo Morón	0:0
Argentinian Primera B
07.10.14	Los Andes - Deportivo Morón	0:0

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