The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Andes 47%
Draw 32.3%
San Miguel 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
31.9%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
31.2%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Andes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Los Andes - San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lopez S. (C) 2. Fernandez N. 3. Grance I. 4. Rodriguez J. 6. Franco D. 7. Navas J. 5. Canete G. 8. Ortiz S. 10. Chamorro A. V. 9. Asenjo M. 11. Tisera F.
1. Sappa D. (G) 2. Cardozo F. 3. Perez L. 4. Adin D. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 6. Ceceri K. 9. Ferrero J. 10. Serra M. 11. De la Cruz E. 7. Oses M. 8. Juarez D.
Substitutes
12. Bustillos J. (G) 14. Carrasco G. D. 20. Echevarria F. 19. Galeano M. 15. Gonzalez A. 13. Leizza B. 18. Modlin T. 16. Rodriguez F. 17. Vazquez J.
13. Aguirre F. 17. Almeida F. 18. Brochero L. 16. Carosio T. 15. Desabato L. 19. Fernandez G. 20. Jerez T. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 14. Ortiz L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Tisera F. 🟨,
41', Asenjo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Ferrero J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Chamorro A. V. ⚽, Asenjo M. (A),
58', Tisera F. ↓, Viganoni C. ↑,
66', Juarez D. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
66', Oses M. ↓, Brochero L. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Brochero L. ⚽, Jerez T. (A),
76', Ortiz S. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
76', Fernandez N. ↓, Modlin T. ↑,
77', De la Cruz E. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
88', Ferrero J. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
88', Serra M. ↓, Desabato L. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Andes won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Los Andes has had a series of away games.
In this match, Los Andes is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Los Andes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Andes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 0.8:0).
Last Results with these Odds
San Miguel - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.