Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Miguel		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	5
	2	2.9	4
	1.87	2.87	4.74	Watch
	1.9	2.83	5.93
				Watch
	1.95	2.88	4.33
	1.92	2.85	4.74
	1.98	2.82	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)	2.86 ↑ (2.75)	4.74 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
48%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Madryn
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

33.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

32.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

San Miguel - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Bonnin Y. (C)
	9. Ayala E.
	7. Crego D.
	2. Giacopuzzi F.
	6. Gutierrez A.
	11. Mana N.
	3. Martinez D.
	8. Perez B.
	5. Recalde F.
	10. Solis N.
	4. Sosa A.
Substitutes
	16. Bustos A.
	17. Cascini B.
	12. Hass J. (G)
	19. Juncos B.
	13. Mansilla M.
	18. Montagna E.
	14. Postel S.
	15. Pruzzo L.
	20. Silba L.
Coaches
	. Gracian L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Corda S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Gutierrez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sosa D. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
59', Solis N. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
61', Juarez J. 🟨,
70', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Postel S. ↑,
71', Mana N. ↓, Silba L. ↑,
74', Nasta B. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
76', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
76', Ferrero J. 🟨,
86', Corda S. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
86', Juarez J. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
89', Perez B. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Miguel is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.25	Deportivo Maipú - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Tristán Suárez - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	San Martín de Tucumán - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	San Miguel - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.06.25	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
15.06.25	Deportivo Madryn - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Deportivo Madryn - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Madryn - All Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:1
03.11.24	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	0:0

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