The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Miguel 22.9%
Draw 29.5%
Deportivo Madryn 47.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
29.9%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
30%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Miguel's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
San Miguel - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
Recent results have been tough for San Miguel (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Deportivo Madryn have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Deportivo Madryn is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, San Miguel has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Miguel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Madryn - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.77%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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