Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Lota Schwager		Deportes Linares

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.1	2.42
	2.24	3.58	2.77	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.54	3.14	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.57)	3.23 ↑ (3.14)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lota Schwager
37.7%

Draw
27.8%

Deportes Linares
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lota Schwager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Deportes Linares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lota Schwager than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Linares than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Lota Schwager - Deportes Linares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fuentes Lagos G. I. (G) 20. Fuentes P. 15. Hermosilla B. 21. Jopia Arias C. 25. Pontigo L. 8. Povea L. 9. Quiroga L. 2. Reyes J. 3. Torres Quintana D. 23. Torres S. 19. Vergara C.	1. Castillo C. (G) 21. Arrue C. 5. Castillo I. 4. Fernandez C. 11. Gomez B. 24. Melendez R. 8. Molina J. 22. Penaloza S. 3. Rojas F. 13. Valdivia Tello F. G. 18. Vallejos D.
Substitutes
6. Contreras J. J. 7. Diaz C. 16. Lincopan N. 14. Navarrete G. 11. Neira F. 18. Salas C. 26. Silva P. (G)	7. Al-Hamidi A. 25. Gezan B. (G) 30. Hernandez A. 14. Hernandez B. 12. Huoseh A. 16. Mercado J. 29. Toro H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Castillo I. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Vallejos D. ⚽,
33', Quiroga L. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Penaloza S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fuentes P. ↓, Salas C. ↑,
46', Torres Quintana D. ↓, Contreras J. J. ↑,
54', Arrue C. 🟨,
56', Pontigo L. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
67', Melendez R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
67', Vallejos D. ↓, Al-Hamidi A. ↑,
75', Valdivia Tello F. G. 🟨,
75', Jopia Arias C. ↓, Neira F. ↑,
75', Gomez B. ↓, Toro H. ↑,
86', Torres S. ↓, Navarrete G. ↑,
86', Reyes J. 🟨,
90+2', Vergara C. 🟥,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Lota Schwager may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Linares	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Linares - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lota Schwager
Chilean Segunda Division
16.05.26	Lota Schwager - Deportes Rengo	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Provincial Osorno - Lota Schwager	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lota Schwager - Colchagua	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lota Schwager - General Velásquez	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- Deportes Linares
Chilean Segunda Division
23.05.26	Deportes Linares - General Velásquez	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Colchagua - Deportes Linares	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportes Linares - Santiago Morning	1:3 ✺
20.04.26	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Linares	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Linares - Provincial Osorno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

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