Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.82
	2.21	3.5	2.61
	2.22	3.63	2.91	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.29	3.46	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.03)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	2.81 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
41%

Draw
26.4%

Birmingham Legion
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beaudry A. (G) 19. Aman R. 51. Essengue A. 2. Adnan N. 21. Akinyode B. 6. Awuah K. 16. Panayotou J. 8. Murphy J. (C) 20. Young S. 39. Marcos Dias 17. Ulfarsson T.	1. Koleilat J. (G) 5. Hughes K. 4. Hamouda R. 27. Washington B. 26. Daley A. 18. Antwi S. 16. Vassell P. 10. Shashoua S. 15. Pasher T. (C) 19. Diarbian G. 17. Williams R.
Substitutes
25. Amoh E. 41. Bandre E. (G) 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 9. Ordonez A. 33. Piras L. 15. Robinson G. 10. Santos P.	77. Brown N. 8. Cole K. 9. Damus R. 3. Kavita P. 11. McCartney D. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 21. Tregarthen S.
Coaches
Limbrick A.	Heaps J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Young S. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Pasher T. ⚽, Vassell P. (A),
25', Hughes K. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽,
42', Panayotou J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Panayotou J. ↓, Niyongabire P. ↑,
48', Vassell P. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
48', Hamouda R. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Pasher T. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
67', Murphy J. 🟨,
71', Ulfarsson T. 🟨,
74', Adnan N. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
75', Williams R. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
75', Pasher T. ↓, Cole K. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Ordonez A. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Santos P. 🟨,
84', Marcos Dias ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
86', Essengue A. 🟨,
90', Damus R. 🟨,
90+5', Washington B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2.

Loudoun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Loudoun could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Loudoun United - Miami	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	West Chester United - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTWL
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
21.03.26	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
11.03.26	Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Birmingham Legion - Miami	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
04.10.25	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	0:1
08.03.25	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	1:3
14.09.24	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	4:2
07.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	3:1
21.06.23	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	2:0
15.04.23	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	3:0
27.07.22	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	6:1

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