Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+


	Birmingham Legion		Miami

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.55
	1.92	3.81	3.73
	1.88	3.79	3.59	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.87	3.54	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.88)	3.63 ↑ (3.62)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
48.9%

Draw
25.4%

Miami
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Birmingham Legion - Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham Legion will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 26. Daley A. 5. Hughes K. 4. Hamouda R. 11. McCartney D. 6. McIllhatton S. 18. Antwi S. 21. Tregarthen S. 15. Pasher T. (C) 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.	1. Room E. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 8. Romero M. 16. Diaz G. 5. Tori R. 7. Tunbridge M. 10. Locadia J. 35. Bent B.
Substitutes
8. Cole K. 2. Duru L. 3. Kavita P. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 16. Vassell P. 17. Williams R.	22. Da Costa R. 18. Diallo M. 23. Musto T. 27. Ndongo M. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 9. Sonora J. 6. Tulu
Coaches
Heaps J.	Maddoni G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Hamouda R. ↓, Kavita P. ↑,
40', Damus R. 🟨,
45+1', Tori R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bent B. ↓, Sonora J. ↑,
51', Daley A. 🟨,
61', Daley A. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
68', Diaz G. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
68', Tori R. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
68', Tunbridge M. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
79', Diarbian G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
79', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
79', Pasher T. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.

Birmingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Miami is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Birmingham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 25.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
02.05.26	Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	1:0 penalties ✺
USL Championship
19.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLTWT
- Miami FC
USL Championship
02.05.26	Miami - Brooklyn	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
29.04.26	Miami - Naples	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Miami - Phoenix Rising	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	San Antonio - Miami	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.10.25	Birmingham Legion - Miami	2:3
24.05.25	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:2
22.09.24	Birmingham Legion - Miami	1:0
20.04.24	Miami - Birmingham Legion	0:1
24.09.23	Birmingham Legion - Miami	0:2
03.05.23	Miami - Birmingham Legion	3:1
03.09.22	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:1

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