PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21
Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday
Louletano
Amora
1
X
2
1.98
2.87
3.7
1.98
2.98
4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.98 ↓ (2.2)
2.93 ↓ (3.18)
3.9 ↑ (3.03)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louletano 45.8%
Draw 31%
Amora 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
28.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
27.3%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Louletano - Amora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
90+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Louletano won 2.
Louletano in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Amora is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Amora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Louletano will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Louletano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Louletano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
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