PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19
Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday
Moncarapachense
Amora
1
X
2
2.7
3
2.5
2.63
2.82
2.86
2.56
2.82
2.74
2.7
3
2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.65 ↓ (3.27)
2.91 ↓ (3.1)
2.65 ↑ (2.12)
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moncarapachense 34.4%
Draw 31.3%
Amora 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
29.3%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
29.2%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moncarapachense's performance.
Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moncarapachense - Amora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Amora in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Amora will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:13 (average 0.4:2.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).