Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 10

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Loures		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.56	3.35	5.1
	1.55	3.65	5.2
	1.57	3.66	5.92
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.54	3.75	5.45
	1.57	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.48)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	5.47 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loures
58.2%

Draw
25.3%

Arronches Benfica
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

23.1%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loures has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Arronches Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loures, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Loures is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Loures - Coruchense	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Sintrense - Loures	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Loures - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	SB Castelo Branco - Loures	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTL
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Arronches Benfica - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Coruchense - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Sintrense - Arronches Benfica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TLWLL

Loures - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide