PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20
Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday
Arronches Benfica
Marinhense
1
X
2
2.27
2.9
3.2
2.42
2.79
3.18
2.34
2.85
3.12
2.27
2.9
3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.33 ↑ (1.75)
2.86 ↓ (3.2)
3.18 ↓ (4.6)
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arronches Benfica 39.3%
Draw 31.9%
Marinhense 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
28.4%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
27.3%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.
Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arronches Benfica - Marinhense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 5).
Arronches Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Marinhense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Arronches Benfica is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Arronches Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.67.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arronches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Arronches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
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