The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Loures 53.9%
Draw 26%
Esperança de Lagos 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.5%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
16.6%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loures has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Esperança de Lagos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loures than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loures that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esperança de Lagos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.