Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 19

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Lovech (Loveč)


	Lovech		Fratria

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.09	2.75	3.8
	2.06	2.87	3.91	Watch
	2.04	2.91	3.77	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.4)	2.87 ↓ (3.2)	3.8 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
44.2%

Draw
31.8%

Fratria
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

25.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lovech's performance.

Fratria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fratria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lovech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fratria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lovech - Fratria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nedelchev I. (G) 17. Bucci K. 9. Dimitrov G. 24. Dimitrov T. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 7. Kasov Y. 14. Lozanov Y. 6. Stefkov B. 26. Valkov K. 5. Yankov N.	1. Petkov S. (G) 3. Angelov A. 7. Angelov D. 30. Corso D. 8. Dobrev S. 5. Dobrev V. (C) 25. Druiventak X. 71. Ibryam I. 21. Kapitanov I. 77. Lazarov G. 18. Zakaryan R.
Substitutes
10. Banev M. 22. Georgiev D. 21. Ivanov S. 18. Kepov P. 19. Nankov V. 99. Zhekov D. (G)	66. Andoni V. 19. Bitlan V. 74. Gashchuk M. 12. Georgiev E. (G) 9. Kadir D. 75. Lisak A. 17. Petrov I. 2. Popov I. 11. Voykov L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Lazarov G. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Druiventak X. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 15).

Lovech is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fratria has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lovech will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.11.24	Sportist Svoge - Lovech	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Lovech - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lovech	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	1:0 ✺
24.10.24	Lovech - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLW
- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.11.24	Fratria - Dunav Ruse	0:4 ✺
18.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Fratria	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
14.11.24	Fratria - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:4 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
09.11.24	Fratria - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Fratria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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