Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 15

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion (Ruse)


	Dunav Ruse		Lovech

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	7.2
	1.44	3.52	6.99
	1.47	3.57	7.72	Watch
	1.43	3.62	8.05
	1.47	3.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	7.43 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunav Ruse
62.4%

Draw
25.4%

Lovech
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunav Ruse's performance.

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lovech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunav Ruse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lovech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dunav Ruse - Lovech Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikolov D. (G) 8. Bemanga K. 26. Hadzhiev K. (C) 45. Hasan D. 99. N'Sonde J. 17. Pahama N. 30. Pehlivanov Z. 78. Su E. 88. Todorov D. 7. Veshev S. 10. Zakonov D.	12. Nedelchev I. (G) 17. Bucci K. 9. Dimitrov G. 11. Dimitrov T. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 18. Kepov P. 14. Lozanov Y. 6. Stefkov B. 26. Valkov K. 5. Yankov N.
Substitutes
29. Dichev N. 23. Goshev I. (G) 15. Gospodinov K. 11. Minchev D. 22. Predev S. 19. Stefanov S. 9. Vangelov M.	10. Banev M. 22. Georgiev D. 21. Ivanov S. 7. Kasov Y. 19. Nankov V. 77. Yankov M. 99. Zhekov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Cup
30.10.24	Dunav Ruse - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Dunav Ruse	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WTWWT
- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.24	Lovech - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Lovech	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Lovech - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lovech	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Lovech - Botev Plovdiv II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.05.24	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	2:0
12.11.23	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	1:0
11.02.23	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	1:1
16.07.22	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	1:3
Club Friendly
28.06.19	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	4:1
Bulgarian Cup
27.10.15	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	4:2

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