Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Lovech		Kariana Erden

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.1	2.6
	2.41	3.2	2.6
	2.53	3.41	2.71
	2.46	3.3	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)	3.25 ↑ (3.09)	2.64 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
37.5%

Draw
28%

Kariana Erden
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

23%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Kariana Erden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lovech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariana Erden than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kariana Erden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lovech - Kariana Erden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Parva liga).

Recent matches Litex is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kariana Erden is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Litex could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Litex won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Litex won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.20	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lovech	4:3 ✺
27.09.20	Lovech - Minyor Pernik	5:1 ✺
19.09.20	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lovech	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Lovech - Neftochimic Burgas	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Lovech	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWT
- Kariana Erden
Bulgarian Cup
20.10.20	Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.09.20	Kariana Erden - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Neftochimic Burgas - Kariana Erden	0:4 ✺
12.09.20	Kariana Erden - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	4:0 ✺
29.08.20	Sportist Svoge - Kariana Erden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.08.19	Kariana Erden - Lovech	1:1
25.08.18	Lovech - Kariana Erden	1:1

Lovech - Kariana Erden

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lovech - Kariana Erden Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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