Match Info

Date: 4 July 2020, Saturday


	Lovćen		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	3.75
	1.7	4.25	3.35
	1.74	4.1	3.2
	1.57	4	4
	1.86	4	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.88)	4.11 ↑ (3.5)	3.53 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovćen
52.6%

Draw
21.9%

Dečić Tuzi
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

18.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovćen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lovćen's performance.

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dečić Tuzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lovćen than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lovćen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dečić Tuzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.2%	1.9%	1.9%

Lovćen - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Lovćen will win (votes: 50 - 96.2%). Dečić will win (votes: 1 - 1.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lovćen: 91% – 100%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Lovćen
Montenegrin Druga Liga
28.06.20	Drezga - Lovćen	1:1 ✺
24.06.20	Bokelj - Lovćen	0:1 ✺
20.06.20	Otrant - Lovćen	3:2 ✺
14.06.20	Lovćen - Ibar Rožaje	2:0 ✺
10.06.20	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Lovćen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWLWT
- FK Dečić Tuzi
Montenegrin Druga Liga
28.06.20	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	4:0 ✺
24.06.20	Ibar Rožaje - Dečić Tuzi	0:4 ✺
20.06.20	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Dečić Tuzi	2:3 ✺
14.06.20	Dečić Tuzi - Jezero	0:0 ✺
10.06.20	Arsenal Tivat - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
08.03.20	Dečić Tuzi - Lovćen	1:2
Montenegrin Cup
24.10.18	Dečić Tuzi - Lovćen	1:1
03.10.18	Lovćen - Dečić Tuzi	2:1
Montenegrin First League
13.05.17	Dečić Tuzi - Lovćen	1:0
16.11.16	Lovćen - Dečić Tuzi	0:0
20.08.16	Dečić Tuzi - Lovćen	2:1
21.05.16	Lovćen - Dečić Tuzi	2:1

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