Match Info

Montenegrin Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tusko (Tuzi)


	Dečić Tuzi		Otrant

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.3	3.4	Watch
	1.81	3.16	4.3
	2.03	3.06	3.66
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.97	3.52	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)	3.25 ↓ (3.57)	3.78 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dečić Tuzi
47.8%

Draw
28.1%

Otrant
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dečić Tuzi's form might have worsened.

Otrant has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dečić Tuzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Dečić Tuzi - Otrant Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Radosevic D. (G) 14. Bajovic A. 22. Dresaj J. (C) 18. Maras L. 74. Pavlicevic P. 32. Radusinovic B. 20. Sekulovic P. 19. Selimi T. 77. Strikovic V. 5. Tomasevic Z. 17. Ujkaj L.	1. Agovic J. (G) 44. Banovic B. 98. Decbitric E. 87. Hoxhaj A. 19. Lambulic L. 8. Pavicevic F. 30. Rudovic V. (C) 5. Sofranac A. 22. Uskokovic M. 9. Vujacic A. 27. Vukovic P.
Substitutes
7. Bozovic D. 21. Camaj A. (G) 11. Djokaj M. 23. Gjelaj R. 10. Kajevic A. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 8. Maloku A. 72. Ndiaye I. 44. Perovic D.	6. Caique Chagas 7. Karamanaga E. 12. Perej D. (G) 4. Redzovic B. 11. Rudovic A. 17. Sefa E. 18. Seratlic E. 99. Skrijelj S. 20. Talovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dečić won 1.

Recent performances by Dečić have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Otrant is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Dečić is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dečić won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dečić won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dečić Tuzi
Montenegrin First League
02.05.26	Petrovac - Dečić Tuzi	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Dečić Tuzi - Budućnost Podgorica	0:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
22.04.26	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	1:2 ✺
Montenegrin First League
18.04.26	Mornar Bar - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Dečić Tuzi - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLW
- FK Otrant
Montenegrin Druga Liga
02.05.26	Igalo - Otrant	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Otrant - Lovćen	2:1 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
22.04.26	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	1:2 ✺
Montenegrin Druga Liga
18.04.26	Berane - Otrant	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Otrant - Rudar Pljevlja	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Cup
22.04.26	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	1:2
Montenegrin First League
04.05.25	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	2:2
08.03.25	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	2:0
27.10.24	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	0:0
25.08.24	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	2:2
Montenegrin Druga Liga
28.06.20	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	4:0
02.12.18	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	1:0

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