The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lučko 34.1%
Draw 26.3%
Trnje Zagreb 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
26.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
26.1%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lučko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Trnje Zagreb have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lučko than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 2nd).
Lučko has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Trnje has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lučko has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lučko against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).