Match Info

KENYA: Super League - Round 30

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Luanda Villa		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.08	1.83
	4.09	3.33	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.36)	3.21 ↓ (3.46)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luanda Villa
23.3%

Draw
28.1%

Mara Sugar
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.8%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luanda Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luanda Villa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gerishom O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 1, Juma E. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Luanda Villa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mara Sugar in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Luanda Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Luanda Villa have a series of guest games.

Recently Mara Sugar have a series of home games.

In this match Mara Sugar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luanda Villa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luanda Villa FC
Kenyan Super League
28.04.24	Vihiga Bullets - Luanda Villa	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Luanda Villa - Gusii	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Migori Youth - Luanda Villa	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Mombasa Elite - Luanda Villa	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Mathare United - Luanda Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Super League
28.04.24	Mara Sugar - Naivas	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Migori Youth - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Mara Sugar - Kajiado	6:0 ✺
07.04.24	Mara Sugar - Mombasa Stars	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Mara Sugar - Assad	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
06.01.24	Mara Sugar - Luanda Villa	2:1

Luanda Villa - Mara Sugar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide