Match Info
SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Luarca |
|
Avilés Stadium |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.9 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.43 |
2.89 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.47 |
3.05 |
2.67 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.62) |
2.97 ↑
(2.92) |
2.76 ↑
(2.57) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luarca
36.8% | Draw
30.4% | Avilés Stadium
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Avilés Stadium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (+1.1%) 
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Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12). Luarca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Avilés Stadium is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1). The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Luarca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3. Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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