Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Luarca		Avilés Stadium

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Luarca
36.8%

Draw
30.4%

Avilés Stadium
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Avilés Stadium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

Luarca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Avilés Stadium is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Luarca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.02.24	Llanera - Luarca	5:1 ✺
28.01.24	Luarca - Praviano	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Luarca - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Gijón Industrial - Luarca	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Luarca - Lenense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWTL
- Avilés Stadium CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.02.24	Ceares - Avilés Stadium	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Avilés Stadium - Llanera	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Avilés Stadium - Praviano	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lealtad - Avilés Stadium	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Avilés Stadium - Gijón Industrial	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTTW

Luarca - Avilés Stadium