Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lucksta		Gottne

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.75	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)	3.75 ↑ (3.55)	2.52 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucksta
39.8%

Draw
24.2%

Gottne
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

24.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucksta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gottne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gottne than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

(4 - 2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lucksta won 2.

Lucksta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gottne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lucksta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lucksta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lucksta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gottne	14	4	2	8	26:28	-2	37
8	Lucksta	14	4	1	9	23:32	-9	31

Last Results with these Odds

Gottne - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
05.09.26	Gottne - Lucksta	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Lucksta - Luleå	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Täfteå - Lucksta	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	IFK Östersunds - Lucksta	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Lucksta - Kubikensborgs	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Gottne IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
05.09.26	Gottne - Lucksta	1:1 ✺
27.08.26	Kubikensborgs - Gottne	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Gottne - Skellefteå FF	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Boden - Gottne	3:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gottne - IFK Östersunds	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
05.09.26	Gottne - Lucksta	1:1
28.06.26	Lucksta - Gottne	3:0
17.05.26	Gottne - Lucksta	1:3
08.06.25	Lucksta - Gottne	1:3
04.05.25	Gottne - Lucksta	3:1
14.09.24	Lucksta - Gottne	1:4
13.04.24	Gottne - Lucksta	3:2

Lucksta - Gottne