Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Gottne		Lucksta

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.80	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.8 ↓ (3.95)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 14.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gottne
49.5%

Draw
23.1%

Lucksta
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

23%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

19.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gottne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gottne than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gottne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gottne won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Gottne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gottne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gottne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gottne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gottne	12	3	2	7	20:25	-5	34
8	Lucksta	12	2	1	9	16:29	-13	25

Last Results with these Odds

Lucksta - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.11%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gottne IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.08.26	Kubikensborgs - Gottne	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Gottne - Skellefteå FF	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Boden - Gottne	3:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gottne - IFK Östersunds	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Täfteå - Gottne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWL
- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.08.26	Lucksta - Luleå	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Täfteå - Lucksta	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	IFK Östersunds - Lucksta	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Lucksta - Kubikensborgs	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Lucksta - Boden	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
28.06.26	Lucksta - Gottne	3:0
17.05.26	Gottne - Lucksta	1:3
08.06.25	Lucksta - Gottne	1:3
04.05.25	Gottne - Lucksta	3:1
14.09.24	Lucksta - Gottne	1:4
13.04.24	Gottne - Lucksta	3:2

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