Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 29

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre (Razgrad)


	Ludogorets II		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.4	7
	1.37	4.37	7.59	Watch
	1.33	4.33	8.55
	1.37	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.64)	4.38 ↑ (3.54)	7.54 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets II
67.1%

Draw
20.8%

Nesebar
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets II's performance.

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nesebar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ludogorets II - Nesebar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Hristov D. (C) 73. Gigov F. 74. Kelyovluev H. 40. Marinov A. 34. Nikolov N. 55. Pedro Henrique 25. Rodriguez E. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 5. Terziev G. 82. Yordanov I.	33. Rahnev P. (G) 6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 11. Dimov G. 77. Drosev N. G. 27. Kostov N. (C) 17. Petrov A. 4. Petrov T. 7. Slivov V. 3. Stoyanov I. 91. Yanev V.
Substitutes
76. Dimitrov K. 68. Habil U. (G) 83. Ivanov R. 35. Kirev P. 59. Lukanov A. 97. Nikolov K. 50. Popov A. 37. Tekpetey B. 93. Yordanov Y.	14. Balinov D. 18. Banchev B. 9. Gelin N. 13. Ivanov D. 16. Jonathan 8. Kunev V. 25. Sheytanov M. (G) 10. Velinov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Ludogorets II is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.03.25	Spartak Pleven - Ludogorets II	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Ludogorets II - CSKA Sofia II	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Fratria - Ludogorets II	2:2 ✺
10.03.25	Ludogorets II - Sportist Svoge	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLT
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.03.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Nesebar	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Nesebar - Spartak Pleven	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Nesebar - Fratria	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sportist Svoge - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.09.24	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	1:1
03.12.18	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	4:1
29.07.18	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	4:2
04.03.18	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	0:2
13.08.17	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	3:1
03.04.17	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	3:0

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