Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Spartak Pleven

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.9
	2.4	3.15	2.83	Watch
	2.43	3.1	2.98	Watch
	2.37	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.92)	3.06 ↓ (3.23)	2.9 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nesebar
38.4%

Draw
30%

Spartak Pleven
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nesebar's form might have worsened.

Spartak Pleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Pleven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nesebar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Pleven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nesebar - Spartak Pleven Predictions

Users Predictions: Nesebar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rahnev P. (G) 6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 5. Dimov P. 77. Drosev N. G. 9. Gelin N. 27. Kostov N. (C) 8. Kunev V. 4. Petrov T. 7. Slivov V. 91. Yanev V.	86. Kitanov G. (G) 8. Chernakov R. 4. David I. 3. James S. 9. Nikolaev I. 19. Pehlivanov Y. 11. Petkov H. 66. Petkov S. 10. Shopov V. 26. Stoyanov D. 5. Varbanov I. (C)
Substitutes
14. Balinov D. 18. Banchev B. 11. Dimov G. 13. Ivanov D. 16. Jonathan 99. Parashkevov K. 17. Petrov A. 25. Sheytanov M. (G) 10. Velinov S.	7. Al Badarin M. 24. Antonov P. 20. Attah E. 16. Bakalski I. 33. Nedyalkov V. 18. Tairov M. 30. Turitsov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 🟨,
16', 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
74', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Nesebar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak Pleven is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nesebar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nesebar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nesebar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.03.25	CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Nesebar - Fratria	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sportist Svoge - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Nesebar - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Lovech - Nesebar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWTTT
- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.03.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Spartak Pleven	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Spartak Pleven - CSKA Sofia II	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Fratria - Spartak Pleven	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Spartak Pleven - Sportist Svoge	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.09.24	Spartak Pleven - Nesebar	1:0
30.04.17	Nesebar - Spartak Pleven	3:1

Upcoming Matches