Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Lugano II		Breitenrain Bern

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.2	2.45
	2.72	3.12	2.61
	2.58	3.47	2.54	Watch
	2.53	3.26	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.62)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	2.51 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano II
35.4%

Draw
28.1%

Breitenrain Bern
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Breitenrain Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Luthi L. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Neto ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 3, Sollberger T. ⚽,
85', 0 - 4, Marleku M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Lugano II is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Breitenrain's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Breitenrain	10	4	2	4	13:15	-2	14
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15:22	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Breitenrain Bern - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
21.02.26	Kriens - Lugano II	5:2 ✺
14.02.26	Lugano II - Cham	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Lugano II - Prishtina Bern	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Young Fellows Juventus - Lugano II	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Collina dOro - Lugano II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
21.02.26	Breitenrain Bern - Biel-Bienne	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Bavois - Breitenrain Bern	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Breitenrain Bern - Münsingen	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Breitenrain Bern - Prishtina Bern	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Besa Biel Bienne - Breitenrain Bern	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
20.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	2:3
22.02.25	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	2:2
17.08.24	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	1:0
18.05.24	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	1:2
11.11.23	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	2:1

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