The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano II 25%
Draw 23.8%
Cham 51.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
23.1%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
22.3%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Cham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cham than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Lugano II - Cham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Facal J. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 2.
In recent outings, Lugano II has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cham is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Lugano II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Cham carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lugano II has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:18 (averaging 1.2:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).
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