Match Info

SWEDEN: SVENSKA CUPEN - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Luleå		AFC Eskilstuna

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.9	3.7	1.68
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	2.71	3.42	2.13
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.02	3.64	2.13
	3.25	3.5	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (6.12)	3.52 ↓ (4.33)	2 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
28.5%

Draw
25.9%

AFC Eskilstuna
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

20.9%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

21.5%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luleå's performance.

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Eskilstuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luleå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Eskilstuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Luleå - AFC Eskilstuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). AFC Eskilstuna will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luleå: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Luleå is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches AFC Eskilstuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match AFC Eskilstuna is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luleå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Luleå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
17.08.23	Luleå - Notvikens	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Storfors - Luleå	0:4 ✺
06.08.23	Kiruna - Luleå	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Luleå - Gottne	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
29.06.23	Luleå - Skellefteå FF	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTW
- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
18.08.23	GAIS - AFC Eskilstuna	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Östersund - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Öster	1:1 ✺
28.07.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Skövde AIK	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	Landskrona - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
31.08.22	Luleå - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0

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