Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Luleå		Skellefteå FF

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.45	2.45
	2.4	3.68	2.51	Watch
	2.46	4.09	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	2.48 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
38%

Draw
24.7%

Skellefteå FF
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

23.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Skellefteå FF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skellefteå FF than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Luleå - Skellefteå FF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mattsson V. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Petersson M. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Soini L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Ring E. ⚽,
72', 4 - 1, Brannstrom J. ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Nylander A. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 1.

Luleå is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Skellefteå has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Luleå has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:22 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Luleå against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	IFK Lulea	12	8	0	4	20:16	4	49
3	Skelleftea	12	5	3	4	21:22	-1	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.09.26	Kubikensborgs - Luleå	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Lucksta	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Boden - Luleå	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Täfteå - Luleå	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Luleå - Täfteå	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWW
- Skellefteå FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.09.26	Skellefteå FF - Gottne	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Boden - Skellefteå FF	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Skellefteå FF - Täfteå	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Skellefteå FF	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Skellefteå FF - IFK Östersunds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
15.08.26	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	3:1
27.06.26	Luleå - Skellefteå FF	0:1
16.05.26	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	2:3
05.10.25	Luleå - Skellefteå FF	2:2
16.08.25	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	3:1
28.05.25	Luleå - Skellefteå FF	0:0
17.04.25	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	1:2

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