Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 11

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Luleå		Älgarna-Härnösand

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.8	5.75
	1.38	5	6
	1.39	4.92	5.35
	1.4	4.92	5.35
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.33	5.35	6.33
	1.38	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	5 (5)	5.9 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
66.5%

Draw
18.1%

Älgarna-Härnösand
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

12.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Älgarna-Härnösand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luleå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Älgarna-Härnösand than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Älgarna-Härnösand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luleå - Älgarna Härnösand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Sochor J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Lampariello P. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Fredriksson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Luleå is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Älgarna-Härnösand is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Luleå is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Luleå won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Luleå won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.06.24	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Luleå - Kiruna	3:1 ✺
18.05.24	Lucksta - Luleå	4:0 ✺
11.05.24	Luleå - Gottne	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Frösö - Luleå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Älgarna-Härnösand IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.06.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Team TG	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Boden - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
18.05.24	Frösö - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:2 ✺
11.05.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Bergnäsets	0:4 ✺
04.05.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Umeå	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.09.23	Luleå - Älgarna-Härnösand	6:0
06.05.23	Älgarna-Härnösand - Luleå	2:3
20.08.22	Luleå - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1
30.04.22	Älgarna-Härnösand - Luleå	1:0

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