Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Älgarna-Härnösand		Umeå

	1	X	2
	2.7	4	1.98
	2.75	4.2	2.05
	2.86	4.08	2.06
	2.75	4.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.28)	4.12 ↓ (4.15)	2.04 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Älgarna-Härnösand
33%

Draw
22.2%

Umeå
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

22.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Älgarna-Härnösand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Älgarna-Härnösand's form might have worsened.

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umeå's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Älgarna-Härnösand than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Älgarna-Härnösand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umeå, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, ⚽,
26', 1 - 3, ⚽,
30', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Älgarna-Härnösand has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Umeå is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Umeå to win the game is with odds 2.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Älgarna-Härnösand won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Älgarna-Härnösand won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Älgarna-Härnösand IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.04.24	Täfteå - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Skellefteå FF - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Kiruna	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	IFK Östersunds - Älgarna-Härnösand	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Ytterhogdal	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.05.24	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.04.24	Umeå - Skellefteå FF	2:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
21.04.24	Täby - Umeå	2:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.04.24	Kiruna - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
22.06.22	Älgarna-Härnösand - Umeå	2:1
09.04.22	Umeå - Älgarna-Härnösand	0:2

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