Match Info

Maranhense - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Luminense		IAPE

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.72	2.48
	3.29	2.81	2.31	Watch
	3.1	2.63	2.4
	3.3	2.78	2.28
	2.9	2.75	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.38)	2.74 ↓ (3.2)	2.4 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luminense
29.2%

Draw
33.1%

IAPE
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luminense's form might have worsened.

IAPE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Luminense - IAPE Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, Ronald ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Maranhense (Relegation)).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luminense AC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
18.01.26	Luminense - Moto Club de São Luís	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Luminense - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Tuntum - Luminense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWW
- IAPE FC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
18.01.26	Tuntum - IAPE	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	IAPE - ITZ Sport	1:0 ✺
07.05.25	IAPE - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Maranhão - IAPE	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWL

Luminense - IAPE: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide