Match Info

Maranhense - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Luminense		Moto Club de São Luís

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Luminense
22.1%

Draw
34.3%

Moto Club de São Luís
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luminense's form might have worsened.

Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moto Club de São Luís's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luminense AC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
14.01.26	Luminense - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Tuntum - Luminense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WW
- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
14.01.26	ITZ Sport - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Maranhão - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Moto Club de São Luís	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Tuntum	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	IAPE - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWL

Luminense - Moto Club de São Luís