The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moto Club de São Luís 48.4%
Draw 29.5%
Tuntum 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
25.7%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
24.8%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moto Club de São Luís's form might have worsened.
Tuntum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuntum's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moto Club de São Luís, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tuntum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Moto Club de São Luís - Tuntum Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Robinho ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Wanderson Gotinha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Vieira R. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Joarlyson ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Maranhense (Relegation)).
Moto Club is Qualified for Maranhense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Moto Club is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Tuntum has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Moto Club is considered a favorite.
We predict that Moto Club will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moto Club won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Moto Club won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Watch
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