Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Lunds		Karlskrona

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6.5
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.35	4.9	6.5
	1.35	4.7	6.4
	1.37	4.94	6.43
	1.36	4.6	7
	1.39	4.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	4.76 ↑ (4.5)	6.47 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lunds
66.8%

Draw
19.1%

Karlskrona
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

13.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lunds's performance.

Karlskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlskrona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lunds - Karlskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Lunds has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karlskrona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lunds is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lunds won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lunds won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.10.20	Skövde AIK - Lunds	2:0 ✺
07.10.20	Tvååker - Lunds	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Lunds - Assyriska Turabdin IK	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Lunds - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
23.09.20	Qviding - Lunds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.10.20	Karlskrona - Utsikten	2:5 ✺
07.10.20	Karlskrona - Oskarshamn	4:4 ✺
03.10.20	Trollhättan - Karlskrona	4:1 ✺
26.09.20	Karlskrona - Qviding	3:0 ✺
23.09.20	Eskilsminne - Karlskrona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.08.20	Karlskrona - Lunds	1:1
14.10.18	Karlskrona - Lunds	5:4
02.06.18	Lunds - Karlskrona	4:2
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
25.09.16	Karlskrona - Lunds	5:1
28.05.16	Lunds - Karlskrona	1:2

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