Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 25

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Övrevi IP (Tvååker)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Tvååker		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.13	3.08	2.38
	3.17	3.12	2.33	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	2.21 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tvååker
29.6%

Draw
28.7%

Lunds
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.2%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

25.3%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tvååker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tvååker than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tvååker - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Svensson A. (G) 2. Ahmadi M. 6. Bendrik D. 23. Carlsson P. 24. Gustafsson F. 15. Johansson N. 4. Nilsson V. (C) 10. Paulsen L. 17. Redenfors J. 18. Ruuska O. 14. Wiman I.	1. Alexandersson A. (G) 5. Andersson J. 31. Ekblom V. 8. Kamp A. 4. Larsson K. 17. Lindfors S. 12. Lindquist E. 7. Nilsson A. 19. Persson E. 23. Thellsson C. W. I. 6. Zetterberg E. (C)
Substitutes
3. Gustavsson G. 22. Johansson A. 7. Johansson O. 5. Landsten K. 32. Ludvigsson E. (G) 16. Lund A. J. M.	18. Akdemir F. 9. Olsson L. 15. Saganger G. 32. Sarr L. (G) 77. Tipura S. 10. Tran E. 2. Velickovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Ekblom V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lindfors S. ↓, Velickovic B. ↑,
46', Persson E. ↓, Tipura S. ↑,
46', Lindfors S. ↓, Velickovic B. ↑,
67', Larsson K. ↓, Tran E. ↑,
68', Bendrik D. 🟨,
72', Ruuska O. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
72', Paulsen L. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Lindquist E. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
83', Redenfors J. ↓, Gustavsson G. ↑,
83', Gustafsson F. ↓, Landsten K. ↑,
84', Ekblom V. ↓, Akdemir F. ↑,
87', Nilsson A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tvååker won 2.

Recent matches Tvååker is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lunds is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lunds will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tvååker won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tvååker won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tvååkers IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
30.09.24	Norrby - Tvååker	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Tvååker - Trollhättan	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Olympic - Tvååker	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Tvååker - Rosengård 1917	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Tvååker - Eskilsminne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLW
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
28.09.24	Lunds - Onsala	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Jönköpings Södra - Lunds	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Lunds - Oskarshamn	4:2 ✺
08.09.24	Trollhättan - Lunds	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Lunds - Olympic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.05.24	Lunds - Tvååker	1:0
21.10.23	Tvååker - Lunds	2:1
01.04.23	Lunds - Tvååker	1:0
13.08.22	Lunds - Tvååker	1:0
02.04.22	Tvååker - Lunds	4:0
23.10.21	Tvååker - Lunds	0:1
29.05.21	Lunds - Tvååker	0:0

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