Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday


	Luparense		Ambrosiana

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.57	3.7	4.7
	1.55	3.6	4.8
	1.61	3.59	4.71
	1.62	3.3	4.8
	1.62	3.74	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.59 ↑ (3.44)	4.76 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
56.2%

Draw
25%

Ambrosiana
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

20.4%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ambrosiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luparense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ambrosiana than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Luparense - Ambrosiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Luparense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ambrosiana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Luparense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Luparense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Luparense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
20.02.22	Delta Porto Tolle - Luparense	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Luparense	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Luparense - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	Cartigliano - Luparense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTTT
- GSD Ambrosiana
Italian Serie D - Group C
20.02.22	Ambrosiana - San Martino Speme	6:2 ✺
13.02.22	Este - Ambrosiana	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Ambrosiana - Cattolica San Marino	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ambrosiana	2:1 ✺
22.12.21	Ambrosiana - Levico Terme	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
10.04.21	Luparense - Ambrosiana	1:2
13.12.20	Ambrosiana - Luparense	0:3
26.01.20	Ambrosiana - Luparense	5:1
22.09.19	Luparense - Ambrosiana	2:0

Luparense - Ambrosiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide