Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Luparense		Cjarlins Muzane

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.12	3.05	Watch
	2.26	3.04	3.06
	2.26	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
40.4%

Draw
29.5%

Cjarlins Muzane
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cjarlins Muzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cjarlins Muzane than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 1.

Recent form of Luparense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cjarlins Muzane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Luparense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Luparense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Luparense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.10.25	Brian Lignano - Luparense	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Luparense - Mestre	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.10.25	Luparense - Union Clodiense	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Campodarsego - Luparense	3:0 ✺
24.09.25	Luparense - Calvi Noale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLW
- ASD Cjarlins Muzane
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.10.25	Cjarlins Muzane - Este	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Cjarlins Muzane - Brian Lignano	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
05.10.25	Legnago Salus - Cjarlins Muzane	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Union Clodiense - Cjarlins Muzane	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
30.03.25	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	2:1
17.11.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Luparense	2:1
05.05.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Luparense	1:0
20.12.23	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	0:0
15.01.23	Cjarlins Muzane - Luparense	2:1
11.09.22	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1
13.02.22	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1

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