Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Luparense		San Luigi

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.95
	1.55	3.86	4.98
	1.56	3.88	5.12	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.64	3.9	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	3.73 ↑ (3.54)	5 (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
57.5%

Draw
24.4%

San Luigi
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The chances for San Luigi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luigi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Luparense - San Luigi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Luparense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Luparense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
22.03.26	Treviso - Luparense	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Luparense - Altavilla	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Luparense - Legnago Salus	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Luparense	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Luparense - Brian Lignano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTLWT
- San Luigi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group C
21.03.26	San Luigi - Brian Lignano	0:6 ✺
15.03.26	Union Clodiense - San Luigi	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	San Luigi - Campodarsego	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Calvi Noale - San Luigi	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	San Luigi - Adriese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
16.11.25	San Luigi - Luparense	1:3
15.01.20	San Luigi - Luparense	1:3
11.09.19	Luparense - San Luigi	1:1

Luparense - San Luigi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide