Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Angrense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.55	3.45	4.9
	1.51	3.75	5.4
	1.53	3.77	6.55
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.53	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	3.68 ↓ (4)	5.64 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
59.3%

Draw
24.6%

Angrense
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.5%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Angrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angrense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lusitano GC - Angrense Predictions

Users Predictions: Lusitano GC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Atlético CP - Lusitano GC	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Lusitano GC - Serpa	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Ferreiras - Lusitano GC	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Juventude de Évora - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lusitano GC - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLWT
- SC Angrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Angrense - Juventude de Évora	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Esperança de Lagos - Angrense	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Angrense - Imortal	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Praiense - Angrense	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Angrense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTTTL

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