The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos 38%
Draw 30.4%
Águeda 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
31.2%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
22.1%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Águeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águeda than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águeda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Águeda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Águeda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Lusitano de Vildemoinhos have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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