Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	São João de Ver		Águeda

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São João de Ver
51.7%

Draw
27.4%

Águeda
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

18.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São João de Ver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Águeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São João de Ver that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águeda than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águeda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Both teams are now playing unstable.

São João de Ver could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São João de Ver is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São João de Ver
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.12.20	São João de Ver - SC Espinho	2:0 ✺
13.12.20	Valadares Gaia - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Canelas - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
29.11.20	São João de Ver - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	São João de Ver - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLTT
- RD Águeda
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.20	Canelas - Águeda	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	Águeda - Valadares Gaia	5:2 ✺
29.11.20	Anadia - Águeda	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Lusitânia - Águeda	3:2 ✺
07.11.20	Águeda - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTLW

São João de Ver - Águeda