Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos		Águeda

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.95
	2.23	3	2.9
	2.43	2.9	2.8
	2.54	3.16	2.95
	2.43	3.06	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.66)	3 ↑ (2.93)	2.89 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
38%

Draw
30.4%

Águeda
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

22.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Águeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águeda than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águeda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Águeda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águeda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lusitano de Vildemoinhos have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.02.21	Canelas - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
10.02.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:3 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	Anadia - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	São João de Ver - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLT
- RD Águeda
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.02.21	Águeda - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
09.02.21	SC Espinho - Águeda	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Águeda - Vila Cortez do Mondego	1:0 ✺
08.01.21	Águeda - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	São João de Ver - Águeda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.11.20	Águeda - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0
27.01.19	Águeda - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	2:2
19.08.18	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Águeda	0:1
11.03.18	Águeda - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:1
11.09.16	Águeda - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:0

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Águeda

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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