Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)
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 |
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 |
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Luverdense |
|
Gama |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.05 |
2.68 |
2.45 |
|
 |
3.38 |
2.6 |
2.44 |
|
 |
3.46 |
2.42 |
2.59 |
|
 |
3 |
2.63 |
2.4 |
|
 |
3.32 |
2.6 |
2.41 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.24 ↓ (3.49) |
2.59 ↓ (2.88) |
2.46 ↑ (2.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luverdense 28% | Draw 35.1% | Gama 36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gama than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Luverdense - Gama Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gama (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Willian Junior ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Pedro Bortoluzo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 2, Lucio ⚽,
- 87', 🟥,
Preview
In recent matches, Luverdense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Gama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Gama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luverdense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;