Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 8
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Canada	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	02:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub 9
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports 6
Iceland	18:45	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Ireland	19:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	20:45	RTL, RTL
Mexico	12:45	Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:45	Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	19:45	SuperSport OTT 8
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV6
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport OTT 8
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	Exxen
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Three, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Luxembourg		Northern Ireland

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.9	2.2
	3.7	2.8	2.3
	3.7	2.92	2.28	Watch
	3.8	2.91	2.37
	8.72	3.95	1.44	Watch
	3.75	2.8	2.2
	3.88	3	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.83)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luxembourg
22%

Draw
32.4%

Northern Ireland
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

30.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Northern Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	28.6%	39.3%

Luxembourg - Northern Ireland Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Luxembourg will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Northern Ireland will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northern Ireland: 21.2% – 57.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Northern Ireland (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Luxembourg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Northern Ireland (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Northern Ireland (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Luxembourg (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 10 - 40%). Northern Ireland (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moris A. (G) Al Khaleej 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 3. Mahmutovic E. NAC Breda 2. Korac S. Venezia 13. Carlson D. St. Polten 16. Barreiro L. Benfica 19. Olesen M. Greuther Furth 6. de Sousa T. 10. Sinani D. St. Pauli 9. Dardari A. Augsburg 4. Bohnert F. Bastia	1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) Blackpool 5. Hume T. (C) Sunderland 17. McNair P. San Diego FC 4. Toal E. Bolton 2. Bradley C. Liverpool 7. Galbraith E. Swansea 19. Charles S. Southampton 16. McCann A. Preston 15. Devenny J. Crystal Palace 11. Reid J. Stevenage 14. Price I. West Brom
Substitutes
7. Borges Sanches Y. Heracles 5. Curci A. Neftci Baku 8. de Pina Duarte dos Santos E. 20. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 23. Fox L. (G) Bocholt 22. Martins M. Winterthur 17. Mica Pinto 11. Muratovic E. Odra Opole 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) B. Monchengladbach 21. Selimovic V. FC Hermannstadt 15. Thill O. IMT Novi Beograd 14. Veiga E. Flamurtari	9. Charles D. Huddersfield 18. Devlin T. Portsmouth 10. Donley J. Stoke City 21. Hale R. Ross County 13. Johnson R. AFC Wimbledon 8. Marshall C. West Ham 3. McConville R. Norwich 20. McDonnell J. Mansfield 23. McMullan S. (G) Waterford 6. Saville G. Luton 12. Southwood L. (G) Bristol Rovers 22. Taylor D. Blackpool
Coaches
Strasser J.	O'Neill Mi.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Korac S. 🟨,
7', Price I. (Pen),
7', 0 - 1, Reid J. ⚽,
18', McCann A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Dardari A. ⚽, Sinani D. (A),
34', Bohnert F. 🟨,
45+1', Sinani D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Charles S. ⚽,
65', de Sousa T. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
66', Korac S. 🟨,
69', Reid J. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Devenny J. ⚽,
77', Toal E. ↓, McConville R. ↑,
77', Bradley C. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
81', Dardari A. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
81', Bohnert F. ↓, Mica Pinto ↑,
84', Price I. ↓, Charles D. ↑,
84', McNair P. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
89', Olesen M. ↓, de Pina Duarte dos Santos E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luxembourg won 1.

Northern Ireland might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luxembourg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luxembourg
Friendly
10.06.25	Luxembourg - Ireland	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	Luxembourg - Slovenia	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Switzerland - Luxembourg	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Luxembourg - Sweden	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLLWT
- Northern Ireland
Friendly
10.06.25	Northern Ireland - Iceland	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Denmark - Northern Ireland	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Sweden - Northern Ireland	5:1 ✺
21.03.25	Northern Ireland - Switzerland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	2:2
05.09.24	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	2:0
Friendly
25.03.22	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3
05.09.19	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	1:0
FIFA World Cup
10.09.13	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	3:2
11.09.12	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	1:1

Luxembourg - Northern Ireland