Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 29

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Luzino		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.39	4.45	6.1
	1.39	4.41	5.8
	1.41	4.62	6.02	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.36	4.45	7.08	Watch
	1.23	5.7	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.23)	4.65 ↓ (5.8)	6.44 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzino
66.5%

Draw
19.4%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

15.3%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luzino's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Rachel D. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Kurbiel P. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Krefft J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 2 - 2, Rachel D. ⚽,
54', 3 - 2, Koniuszy M. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Kurbiel P. ⚽,
83', 4 - 3, Perveinis M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Luzino is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nowe Skalmierzyce is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Luzino is the clear favorite.

We predict that Luzino will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luzino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Luzino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	18	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Luzino	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Luzino - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Luzino	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Luzino	1:4 ✺
03.04.26	Luzino - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	1:2
24.05.24	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:0
04.11.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	5:2

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