Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Noteć Czarnków		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	4 (4)	4.5 (4.5)

The best margin for this event is 12.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Czarnków
58.1%

Draw
22.2%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Noteć Czarnków have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Noteć Czarnków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Noteć Czarnków is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noteć Czarnków won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Noteć Czarnków won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notec Czarnkow	11	5	1	5	18:15	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Września - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Września	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0
19.04.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	1:0
21.09.24	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:4
18.05.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	3:1
28.10.23	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1

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