Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 19

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Luzino		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.55	3.4
	1.72	3.92	3.7
	1.88	3.83	3.32	Watch
	1.74	4.18	3.77	Watch
	1.72	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.42)	3.86 ↓ (4.4)	3.59 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzino
51.1%

Draw
23.6%

Unia Swarzędz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

20.2%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luzino's form might have worsened.

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Swarzędz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luzino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Swarzędz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luzino - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Sosnowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Zajac J. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Sosnowski F. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Luzino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unia Swarzędz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Luzino is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luzino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Luzino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.11.25	Wda Świecie - Luzino	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Luzino	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Luzino - Września	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Luzino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.11.25	Unia Swarzędz - Kluczevia Stargard	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lipno Stęszew	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Unia Swarzędz	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Elana Toruń	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Września - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:1
01.05.24	Luzino - Unia Swarzędz	1:2
07.10.23	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	2:1

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