Match Info

Druga NL - Round 28

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Lučko		Jadran Luka Ploče

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.22
	2.7	3.46	2.15
	2.75	3.68	2.18	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.81	3.44	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.59)	3.4 ↓ (3.75)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lučko
32.3%

Draw
26.5%

Jadran Luka Ploče
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

24.4%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

23.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lučko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Jadran Luka Ploče has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lučko than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lučko - Jadran Luka Ploče Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

Recent form of Lučko has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jadran Luka Ploče is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lučko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lučko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Lucko	7	1	2	4	7:10	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lučko Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
09.05.26	Grobničan - Lučko	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lučko - Varteks Varazdin	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Kustošija - Lučko	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Lučko - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Uskok Klis - Lučko	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLLL
- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
09.05.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Varteks Varazdin	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Solin	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Uljanik Pula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
15.11.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Lučko	2:0

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