Match Info

Druga NL - Round 25

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Lučko

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.7
	1.39	4.45	6.8
	1.45	3.7	7.61	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.3	4.1	11.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	4.2 ↓ (5.2)	8.16 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
67.1%

Draw
21.7%

Lučko
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

16.3%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Lučko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kustošija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lučko than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Kustošija - Lučko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sunjic N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Gashi M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kustošija won 1.

Recent performances by Kustošija have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lučko is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Kustošija is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kustošija won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kustošija won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Lucko	7	1	2	4	7:10	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
17.04.26	Kustošija - Uskok Klis	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bjelovar - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kustošija - Segesta	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Radnik Križevci - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Kustošija - Đakovo Croatia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLTW
- NK Lučko Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
18.04.26	Lučko - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Uskok Klis - Lučko	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Lučko - Solin	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Bjelovar - Lučko	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lučko - Mladost Ždralovi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
25.10.25	Lučko - Kustošija	1:1
Croatian Prva NL
02.03.19	Kustošija - Lučko	0:0
25.08.18	Lučko - Kustošija	2:1
21.04.18	Kustošija - Lučko	1:0
11.03.18	Lučko - Kustošija	2:1
01.10.17	Kustošija - Lučko	0:0

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