Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 22

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Lyn 2		Råde

	1	X	2
	2.10	4.20	2.45
	2.08	4.15	2.52
	2.23	5.02	2.27
	1.98	5	2.61	Watch
	2.09	4.95	2.20
	2.08	4.70	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (3.91)	4.67 ↓ (4.85)	2.4 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn 2
43.1%

Draw
19.3%

Råde
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

19%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

17.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyn 2's performance.

Råde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Råde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn 2 than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyn 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Råde than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Råde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lyn 2 - Råde Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lyn 2 (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 3rd).

Recent results have been tough for Lyn 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Råde have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lyn 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Råde has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Råde carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lyn 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rade	25	14	4	7	86:41	45	46
10	Lyn 2	25	10	4	11	53:55	-2	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
28.09.26	Rælingen - Lyn 2	1:0 ✺
21.09.26	Lyn 2 - Sarpsborg 2	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Gjøvik-Lyn - Lyn 2	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Drøbak-Frogn - Lyn 2	4:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lyn 2 - Sandefjord 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLW
- Råde IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
26.09.26	Råde - Lillehammer	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Råde - Elverum	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Råde - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Råde	3:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Råde - Follo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
28.06.26	Råde - Lyn 2	3:5

Lyn 2 - Råde