Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 21

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Råde		Lillehammer

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.80	2.20
	2.45	3.55	2.28
	2.35	3.74	2.39
	2.56	3.92	2.27	Watch
	2.30	3.70	2.35
	2.69	3.66	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.68)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Råde
36.4%

Draw
24.1%

Lillehammer
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

23.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

22.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Råde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lillehammer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Råde than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Lillehammer aligns with the current prediction.

Råde - Lillehammer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Nygard M. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Leqvamb A. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 0 - 3, Leqvamb A. M. ⚽,
58', 0 - 4, Dahl C. ⚽,
78', 0 - 5, Leqvamb A. M. ⚽,
88', 1 - 5, Hasanagic D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd and 1st in the Promotion).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Råde has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lillehammer	22	17	2	3	83:32	51	53
3	Rade	22	12	4	6	70:40	30	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Råde IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.09.26	Råde - Elverum	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Råde - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Råde	3:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Råde - Follo	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
15.08.26	Råde - Drøbak-Frogn	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Lillehammer FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.09.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Lillehammer	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Elverum - Lillehammer	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Lillehammer - Strømmen	2:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
08.08.26	Gjøvik-Lyn - Lillehammer	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Lillehammer - Drøbak-Frogn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

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